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4-27-18: Should I buy the home I rent?

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Question of the week:  Should I buy the home I rent?

 

Answer: This question has a reverse side as well, “Should I sell my rental property to the tenant?”

 

I have a client who contacted me the other day about wanting to sell a home she rents out because the tenant has given notice. She is nearing the end of the time frame of living in a home two out of prior five years to avoid capital gains and the time is perfect. I asked if she contacted the tenant about purchasing the home, however the tenant is giving notice because they had already entered a contract—otherwise did not think of asking to buy the home or they would have.

 

This was a missed opportunity for both parties. When they decided they wanted to own their own home the tenant should have informed the landlord, who gladly would have worked with them to see if the right price and terms could be found, saving each party a lot of time and expenses.

 

What are the opportunities for the landlord and tenant in having the tenant purchase their rental home from their landlord?

 

From the landlord side, there are several advantages to selling to your tenant.

 

For most landlords selling their rental property the status of the tenant is a primary factor in how the process will proceed. If it is a single-family residence then the buyer will almost always be looking to owner occupy the property, so the property needs to be vacant.

 

Typically, the dwelling should be vacant during the marketing period to maximize the ability to show the property to the most buyers and encourage offers. If you have a long-term lease with the tenant you will need to wait until the lease is nearing termination and provide notice that the lease will not be renewed and the tenant must vacate. If the lease is month-to-month you will need to give the tenant a 30 day notice to vacate. Depending on your tenant at this point it can get sticky if your tenant decides to not vacate on time. In California, the tenant has significant rights to delay vacating the property and can prolong any eviction process for a very long time. Several times over the years I have witnessed landlords paying tenants to vacate properties to get the process over and property vacant for sale or closing.

 

If you tenant is cooperative and does vacate the property you will continue to have costs, mortgage, taxes, insurance, maintenance, until you close escrow with a buyer, without receiving any rent. Depending on many factors you could have a vacant, non-revenue producing property for two, three, four or more months.

 

Speaking of maintenance, when selling to the tenant there may be some repair work requested by the tenant-buyer following a home inspection, however there will not be the costs of preparing the home for showing. No landscaping for curb appeal, refreshing flooring, painting, or other touch-ups most sellers go through before marketing their home to try to maximize value.

When selling to your tenant you have a bit more control of the escrow period, which can be especially important if your intention is to purchase a new rental property, rolling over your proceeds in what is known as a 1031 Exchange to postpone capital gains taxes. When participating in a 1031 Exchange there are time frames to identify your “up-leg” and close on that transaction, if you miss them then your gains from the sale of the property are subject to capital gains. If your sale is an open market sale with two or three other transactions that you have little to no control over it is more difficult to extend the closing date of the sale of your rental property if you need more time to find and close on your up-leg.

 

Your costs of sale can be significantly lower selling to your tenant than going on the open market. You can have more control over timing of the transaction. If you are considering selling your rental property it is advisable you contact the tenant to see if they are willing and able to purchase the home.

 

From the tenant’s perspective purchasing the home you have been renting also has several advantages to going to the open market.

 

One big plus is you do not have to pack, move and unpack. You will not have the added expenses that occur when you move, new shower curtains, dustbins, pieces of furniture, lamps, fixtures, etc. Of course, now that the home is yours you may want to make some changes, however we have found most tenants who purchase their rental home make fewer changes and spend less than those who move into a new home.

 

Familiarity is another major benefit. If you like your neighbors and neighborhood you become a homeowner and still go to the same store for groceries, walk to your local coffee shop to meet friends, go to the same schools for your kids and the same dog park with Phideau.

 

Utilities, seemingly a small thing, but no getting set up with gas, electrical, cable. Dealing with timing to meet vendors or pay deposits.

 

Not every home is perfect, even if you purchase a newly constructed home there can be, and usually are, some issues. Purchasing the home you have lived in for a while you already know the quirks and issues, some of which your landlord may be willing to fix as part of the transaction.

 

A major plus, does not always happens but usually does, is the tenant-discount. Because the landlord does not have to have the property vacant, require your cooperation to show the property if on the market while you are still living there, nor spend the funds to get it “market-ready,” we typically see some discount to market for the tenant-buyer. Some landlords have refused to offer any discount and see their tenants leave the property instead of purchasing the home and the landlord later regrets trying to maximize price instead of maximizing combination of total costs and efficiency of the sale.

 

One more consideration both tenants and landlords should consider, rent control. In more and more cities throughout the state, and at the state level, the rent control movement has been gaining momentum. I will not use this space to present the case that rent control does the exact opposite of what it is intended to do, however it is something to consider if you are a tenant or landlord.

 

From the landlord side, if you have owned a single family home as a rental in an area that appears somewhat likely to be under rent control you will want to consider all options for the future. This includes the option of selling the property, getting out of the landlord business and paying your taxes, or selling the property and going through a 1031 Exchange to purchase a rental property in an area where there is less of a chance that rent control will be enacted. If the option that appeals to you most is selling the property, contact your tenant. If the tenant does want to, or cannot, buy the property then start the process of putting the home on the market.

 

From the tenant side, if rent control goes into effect your options down the road become somewhat restricted as there will likely be fewer units on the market for you to rent when the time comes and the rent you will be paying will likely be significantly higher. If you are in an area where rent control appears to be likely and you have been thinking about purchasing a home in the somewhat near future, say one to two years, then consider moving up that time frame. Call a mortgage professional (I would be an appropriate call…) to get pre-qualified and determine your purchasing power. I can also provide a ballpark price range for the home and if there is a near match and you like the home you have been renting then contact the landlord and make an offer. If the landlord does not want to sell then you know your price and we can hit the open market to see what is available.

 

If you are in a residential rental relationship, as landlord or tenant, and are considering severing that relationship by selling or buying please contact me and I can assist you with options and other professionals who can assist you.

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

Not great but very good. That was the news this morning from the Commerce Department when it released its first estimate of GDP growth for the first quarter of 2018. The estimate showed economic growth of 2.3%, below the 2.9% growth for the final three months of 2017 but higher than the 2.0% estimate many expected. Part of the slower growth was a slowdown in durable goods purchases, namely vehicles, perhaps a hangover from the huge amount sold post hurricane season in Texas and Florida. By beating expectations the news is slightly mortgage rate unfriendly.

 

Costs going up. The cost of employing the average worker climbed the fastest in a decade in the first quarter, increasing 0.8%. Add to this extremely low unemployment, layoffs near a five decade low and some scarcity in qualified labor and the expectation is for wage inflation to start to impact prices for consumers. This is not friendly news for mortgage rates as higher costs and inflation lead to higher interest rates.

 

Rates for Friday April 27, 2018: The benchmark 10-year Treasury note broke through the 3% mark for the first time since December 2013, in doing so dragged other fixed rates on bonds and mortgages up as well. With very strong employment markets and solid economic growth, what looks like peace potentially breaking out on the Korean Peninsula, there is nothing currently on the horizon to cause rates to drop. We see rates climb again this week from last Friday and it is apparent we have broken out of the prior range; now the question is when will rates level out? We could see rates increase another one-quarter of one-percent before this happens.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.49%       Up 0.115%

30 year high-balance conforming                      4.75%        Up 0.125%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

Pretty remarkable footage of South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un meeting at their border today and shaking hands. This is historic and appears to heading to being this generation’s version of the Berlin Wall being torn down. There is historic correlation between the Berlin Wall and the separation of Korea.

 

Korea had been ruled by the Japanese since the 1910’s when it invaded and occupied the county. North Korea and South Korea were created in 1945 as part of the treaties ending World War II, with the Japanese removed from the peninsula and Russia and the United States occupying the peninsula, Russia the northern part and the United States the southern part—the dividing line the infamous 38th parallel. This was the same manner in which Germany, and Berlin, were divided after the war with the exception that France and England joined in those divisions.

 

In 1950 the North Korean Army sent troops over the 38th parallel and the Korean War began. The armed conflict ended in 1953 when an armistice was signed by the representatives from the United Nations, North Korea and the People’s Republic of China. The armistice has been in effect these past 65 years but no peace treaty has ever been signed between the two countries, meaning they have continued to technically be at war.

 

The world watches and hopes that the Korean leaders are able to walk the path to peace and put an end to the tensions and potential for more armed conflict.

 

Have a great week,

 

Dennis

4-20-18: Why do you want me to put 21.2% down?

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Question of the week:  Why do you want me to put 21.2% down?

 

Answer: This question came from a new client last week who had been speaking with a representative of a major national lender about loan options for purchasing a new home and called me on the advice of her tax preparer.

 

She is a first-time buyer who was getting ready to write an offer on a condominium unit and began the call the way many do, “I was given your name by my tax person when I told her I was buying a condo. I’m writing an offer tonight, have spoken to my bank already and will be putting 20% down.”

 

After getting the necessary information for income, credit, funds for closing I asked about the property she wanted to purchase, price, if she was sure it was a condominium (a great question for next week) and the homeowners’ association fees.

 

After getting all the information I said, “Everything looks great, you definitely qualify, however instead of putting 20% down I think you should put a bit more down, $6,900 more to be precise, which is 21.2% down.”

 

This prompted our question of the week.

 

Because we look at the big picture and have over 30 years’ experience that allows us to quickly sort through options my suggestion was an automatic response.

 

The offer my client was going to make was for $575,000. If she put 20% down, $115,000, her loan amount would be $460,000. Following my advice putting down 21.2%, which would be $121,900, her loan amount will be $453,100.

 

Why is that important? Look at the rates for today below. The conforming rate today is 4.375%, the high-balance rate is 4.625%, one-quarter of one percent higher (0.25%). Usually, the difference between the two is one-eighth of one percent (0.125%), however the high-balance rate is always higher by 0.125% or higher.

 

What is the difference between a conforming loan and a high-balance loan? One dollar.

 

The maximum conforming loan amount is $453,100. This amount happens to be 78.8% of the $575,000 offer my client wanted to write. The payment on today’s conforming rate for $453,100 is $2262.26 per month. If the client put down 20% the loan amount would be $460,000, which would have a payment of $2365.04 per month. By putting down the extra $6900 she is saving $102.78 per month ($1233 per year).

 

Having inherited money from her recently deceased father she has the funds to put down the extra 1.2% without any financial harm, and with her income situation the extra $102.78 per month makes her a little more comfortable with the monthly housing payment.

 

To be fair most lenders would bring up this option to a client in a situation like this, however we find time and again options with small changes to the what the client may pay in closing or monthly payment or manipulating credit or other factors that can provide another option that may be more beneficial in the long run.

 

Several decades experience enables us to look at a transaction and present several different options to consider so our clients can determine which they feel is the best for them and their family. Experience matters!

 

(The client’s offer on the condo was not accepted, but she is probably writing another offer this weekend, keep your fingers crossed for her!)

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

The most significant economic news this week was the retail sales report for March, which was very strong. American consumers spent 0.6% more in March than February with auto sales leading the charge. The news was a bit of surprise and put a bit of upward pressure on rates.

 

Rates for Friday April 20, 2018:  With a lack of economic news this week the increase in mortgage rates was a bit unexpected. Some of the increase can be attributed to investors pricing in a rate hike from the Fed in June, and some speculation of perhaps two more increases in the second half of the year instead of the anticipated one. With a lot of government debt hitting the markets this week, and two major foreign buyers of our debt (China and Japan) not real thrilled with the Trump tariffs, plus the Fed putting bonds and mortgages from its portfolio into the market rising rates should not be a surprise. With a lot of supply coming to market prices are going to drop, when prices drop interest rates go up. The conforming rate increases for the first time in eleven weeks and we see the high-balance rate hit its highest level since January 2014.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.125%       Up 0.125%

30 year high-balance conforming                      4.625%      Up 0.25%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

 

I love the cool Spring weather we have been having and hope it lasts for a few more weeks. My weather sweet spot is low to mid-70’s with breezes, exactly what we have been having!

 

Have a great week,

 

Dennis

4-13-18: What is the IRS Form I have to sign with my mortgage application?

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Question of the week:  Why do some of the creditors on my credit report say, “Affected by Natural or Declared Disaster” when I live nowhere near a natural disaster that has occurred?

 

Answer: Because creditors were not all A+ students in geography class.

 

Last year saw many natural disasters across the country, from hurricanes in Texas and Florida to wildfires up and down the state of California. Many people were severely impacted by the disasters, some of the more fortunate only lost some days at work and had the financial burden of cleaning up after the disaster, however many lost their homes, cars, places of work and neighborhoods. While trying to recover from the disasters, dealing with the emotion of such tremendous loss they also had the reality of bills still due, negotiating with insurance companies to cover losses and added costs of where to stay and how to get there.

 

Understanding that financial disasters create tremendous financial burden on those in the impacted areas more and more credit companies are automatically putting into their reports to the three major credit bureaus that the debtor resides in a natural disaster area. The purpose of this statement is to let those reviewing the credit report for the possibility of extending credit will understand if there are any late payments on the account that the natural disaster could be responsible for the late payments. Essentially letting future creditors know there is likely a very good reason for the late payments that should be taken into account when extending credit.

 

So why are these notices popping up on credit reports for people who have not been affected by a natural disaster? Because the notices are put on credit reports using computer models and the computer models, from what we have seen, are using counties or regions when determining which accounts to label.

 

For instance, a couple in Long Beach, which has not been impacted by any natural disaster in decades, has a couple of accounts labelled with the natural disaster language. While Long Beach has not had a natural disaster declared, within the last twelve months there have been severe fires in both Los Angeles and Orange Counties; Long Beach is in LA County and borders Orange. It appears the creditor plugged in LA County as having a natural disaster and tagged all its accounts in the county, not realizing the size of the county and how geographically distant Long Beach is from any of the fires that occurred.

 

In Texas and Florida people are facing similar reporting, while they were not severely impacted by any of the storms they live near enough, or are in counties, declared natural disaster areas that they have had accounts tagged with the natural disaster warning.

 

Does this impact your credit? No, it does not. Does it impact your mortgage underwriting? As this reporting is relatively new on credit reports we have had some underwriters request appraisers note on the report if the property was impacted by a natural disaster.

 

At this point we have not seen any impact on credit scores, positively or negatively. Meaning if you have an account that has a 30-day late payment on the credit report and that same account is labelled “Affected by Natural or Declared Disaster,” we have not seen your credit score not impacted by the late payment—meaning your score is still depressed due to the late payment.

 

If this label is on some of  your accounts do not be concerned that it is in any way impacting your credit or ability to obtain a mortgage or other applied for credit such as an auto loan. It is merely a head’s up to other creditors that if you do have any late payments in the recent past there may be a very good reason why—if you in fact did live in a natural disaster area and were negatively impacted.

 

If you have any questions about your credit report please do not hesitate to contact me.

 

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

A few reports this week that can impact rates. On Wednesday, the final revision to Gross Domestic Product for the 4th quarter of 2017 was released, and the revision was up 0.4% from the prior revisions. Strength in the increase was mainly attributed to consumer spending, which increased 4.0% from the 3rd quarter. The news was somewhat mortgage rate unfriendly as stronger economic data portends higher interest rates in the future.

 

While consumer spending led the way in 2017, so far in 2018 that has not been the case, causing expectations for GDP growth in the first quarter to be lower than it was in 2017. On Thursday data was released on Personal Income and Consumer Spending. The good news is that wages continue to increase, up 0.4% in February, matching January’s increase. And like January, consumer spending in February was up a lackluster 0.2%. Workers are earning more but spending less, so it is no surprise that the personal savings rate has increased to 3.4%. With the flat growth in consumer spending prices were up 1.8% from February 2017, still below the Fed’s 2% inflation rate target. The increase in earnings is negative for mortgage rates as it creates expectations for wage inflation, however workers putting more of their earnings into savings instead of spending is positive for mortgage rates. Since consumer spending is approximately 65-70% of GDP, a slow-down in spending could slow down GDP growth, keeping upward pressure on rates at bay.

 

Rates for Friday March 30, 2018:  A short week for markets as stock and commodity exchanges are closed today for Good Friday. Conforming rates continue to hold steady from Friday to Friday, seven weeks in a row now with the same rate. Lenders continue to bounce up and down on the high-balance conforming rates (loans from $463,451 to $679,650) and we are down 0.125% from last Friday. Markets continue to be volatile, and there is more turbulence ahead as indicated by the stock markets down in the first quarter of 2018 after nine consecutive positive quarters. My advice remains to lock through your escrow closing when you can.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.25%       Flat

30 year high-balance conforming                      4.375%      Down 0.125%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

For parents on young ones I will give you this Easter tip learned from my mom, count the number of eggs you hide so you make sure they are all found. My mom learned this lesson when her young sons found an egg or two in the middle of August, in Tulsa, that had been rotting in the sun and heat since March. There was a special kind of scent and cleaning her boys after they found the putrid little bombs and did what boys do (throw at each other) taught to always make sure all the eggs were found on Easter…

 

Spring Break begins for our kids and many others, after this next week the next stop is summer. Seems like forever for the kids and tomorrow for the parents.

 

Have a great week,

 

Dennis

3-30-18: Credit report states impacted by natural disaster

/in /by

 

 

Question of the week:  Why do some of the creditors on my credit report say, “Affected by Natural or Declared Disaster” when I live nowhere near a natural disaster that has occurred?

 

Answer: Because creditors were not all A+ students in geography class.

 

Last year saw many natural disasters across the country, from hurricanes in Texas and Florida to wildfires up and down the state of California. Many people were severely impacted by the disasters, some of the more fortunate only lost some days at work and had the financial burden of cleaning up after the disaster, however many lost their homes, cars, places of work and neighborhoods. While trying to recover from the disasters, dealing with the emotion of such tremendous loss they also had the reality of bills still due, negotiating with insurance companies to cover losses and added costs of where to stay and how to get there.

 

Understanding that financial disasters create tremendous financial burden on those in the impacted areas more and more credit companies are automatically putting into their reports to the three major credit bureaus that the debtor resides in a natural disaster area. The purpose of this statement is to let those reviewing the credit report for the possibility of extending credit will understand if there are any late payments on the account that the natural disaster could be responsible for the late payments. Essentially letting future creditors know there is likely a very good reason for the late payments that should be taken into account when extending credit.

 

So why are these notices popping up on credit reports for people who have not been affected by a natural disaster? Because the notices are put on credit reports using computer models and the computer models, from what we have seen, are using counties or regions when determining which accounts to label.

 

For instance, a couple in Long Beach, which has not been impacted by any natural disaster in decades, has a couple of accounts labelled with the natural disaster language. While Long Beach has not had a natural disaster declared, within the last twelve months there have been severe fires in both Los Angeles and Orange Counties; Long Beach is in LA County and borders Orange. It appears the creditor plugged in LA County as having a natural disaster and tagged all its accounts in the county, not realizing the size of the county and how geographically distant Long Beach is from any of the fires that occurred.

 

In Texas and Florida people are facing similar reporting, while they were not severely impacted by any of the storms they live near enough, or are in counties, declared natural disaster areas that they have had accounts tagged with the natural disaster warning.

 

Does this impact your credit? No, it does not. Does it impact your mortgage underwriting? As this reporting is relatively new on credit reports we have had some underwriters request appraisers note on the report if the property was impacted by a natural disaster.

 

At this point we have not seen any impact on credit scores, positively or negatively. Meaning if you have an account that has a 30-day late payment on the credit report and that same account is labelled “Affected by Natural or Declared Disaster,” we have not seen your credit score not impacted by the late payment—meaning your score is still depressed due to the late payment.

 

If this label is on some of  your accounts do not be concerned that it is in any way impacting your credit or ability to obtain a mortgage or other applied for credit such as an auto loan. It is merely a head’s up to other creditors that if you do have any late payments in the recent past there may be a very good reason why—if you in fact did live in a natural disaster area and were negatively impacted.

 

If you have any questions about your credit report please do not hesitate to contact me.

 

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

A few reports this week that can impact rates. On Wednesday, the final revision to Gross Domestic Product for the 4th quarter of 2017 was released, and the revision was up 0.4% from the prior revisions. Strength in the increase was mainly attributed to consumer spending, which increased 4.0% from the 3rd quarter. The news was somewhat mortgage rate unfriendly as stronger economic data portends higher interest rates in the future.

 

While consumer spending led the way in 2017, so far in 2018 that has not been the case, causing expectations for GDP growth in the first quarter to be lower than it was in 2017. On Thursday data was released on Personal Income and Consumer Spending. The good news is that wages continue to increase, up 0.4% in February, matching January’s increase. And like January, consumer spending in February was up a lackluster 0.2%. Workers are earning more but spending less, so it is no surprise that the personal savings rate has increased to 3.4%. With the flat growth in consumer spending prices were up 1.8% from February 2017, still below the Fed’s 2% inflation rate target. The increase in earnings is negative for mortgage rates as it creates expectations for wage inflation, however workers putting more of their earnings into savings instead of spending is positive for mortgage rates. Since consumer spending is approximately 65-70% of GDP, a slow-down in spending could slow down GDP growth, keeping upward pressure on rates at bay.

 

Rates for Friday March 30, 2018:  A short week for markets as stock and commodity exchanges are closed today for Good Friday. Conforming rates continue to hold steady from Friday to Friday, seven weeks in a row now with the same rate. Lenders continue to bounce up and down on the high-balance conforming rates (loans from $463,451 to $679,650) and we are down 0.125% from last Friday. Markets continue to be volatile, and there is more turbulence ahead as indicated by the stock markets down in the first quarter of 2018 after nine consecutive positive quarters. My advice remains to lock through your escrow closing when you can.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.25%       Flat

30 year high-balance conforming                      4.375%      Down 0.125%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

For parents on young ones I will give you this Easter tip learned from my mom, count the number of eggs you hide so you make sure they are all found. My mom learned this lesson when her young sons found an egg or two in the middle of August, in Tulsa, that had been rotting in the sun and heat since March. There was a special kind of scent and cleaning her boys after they found the putrid little bombs and did what boys do (throw at each other) taught to always make sure all the eggs were found on Easter…

 

Spring Break begins for our kids and many others, after this next week the next stop is summer. Seems like forever for the kids and tomorrow for the parents.

 

Have a great week,

 

Dennis

3-23-18: What should I look for in a Home Equity Line?

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Question of the week: What should I look for in a Home Equity Line?

 

Answer: With equity building, rates rising and prices continuing to climb we are getting more and more inquiries from clients looking for Home Equity Lines of Credit (HELOC) to remodel homes or for other purposes.

 

Before getting a HELOC some questions I have clients answer to be sure that is the correct route for them to go to meet their needs:

 

  • Can you accomplish what you want with a cash out refinance? The rate on a refinance may be lower than a HELOC, and depending on your current rate and payment may be better in the long run. Yes your rate may go up but it will be fixed and over time you may be paying less for the funds you need.

 

  • If you are looking to remodel and/or add on to your home is what you want in your home available on the market? Instead of converting your two bedroom one bath to a three bedroom two bath home, can you buy the home you want in today’s market? What is the cost of the new home? How do the payments compare to your final costs after the remodel? Do you want to live with a contractor handing you coffee and a newspaper every morning for several months?

 

  • Do you know how a HELOC works?

 

If you go through your due diligence and a HELOC is what you need, what should you look for when comparing different options on the market?

 

Before we discuss what to look for a quick primer on how a HELOC works. This is not a fixed rate loan, it is adjustable and it can adjust at any time. As a rule the base rate for your HELOC is the Prime Rate (what a bank charges its clients with the lowest risk is the standard definition). Prime is not tied to anything, in the past different banks have had different Prime Rates and they were all published in financial media, today most banks have the same Prime Rate. When does the Prime Rate move? Whenever a bank feels it needs a better return on its loans, typically when one major bank changes its rates all other follow.

 

For the past few decades banks have moved their Prime Rate in conjunction with the Federal Reserve’s Federal Funds Rate, the rate banks charge to borrow from each other through the Federal Reserve. This week when the Fed increased the funds rate by one-quarter of one percent (0.25%) banks immediately increased their Prime Rates, as a result the Prime Rate went from 4.5% to 4.75%. As the Prime Rate increases and decreases so does the rate on your HELOC.

 

HELOCs then operate like a credit card, you have a credit limit and can borrow within that limit and pay back as much as you like at any time, and you have a minimum payment due every month based on your balance. If you have a HELOC with a $100,000 limit and borrow $25,000 then you owe at minimum the interest on the $25,000 every month (some banks have a 1% repayment rule, or interest only whichever is greater). As long as your HELOC line is open to drawing against it you can run the balance up and down as often as you like within the credit limit.

 

 

If you get a HELOC is your rate the Prime Rate? Maybe, but most likely not. This leads to one of the important factors about a HELOC you need to know when comparing options:

 

  • What is the margin? We discussed that your rate is tied to the Prime Rate, but that is not necessarily your rate. Your rate will be the Prime Rate plus a margin. The margin is a fixed amount throughout the loan. Perhaps the bank is running a special and you can get Prime with no margin, but generally there will be a margin anywhere from a quarter percent (0.25%) to one and a half percent (1.5%) or higher depending on many factors. What is important to you is what is the margin. If Prime is at 4.75% and you have a 1% margin to start your rate is 5.75% on whatever balance you have outstanding—until the next time the Prime Rate moves at which point your rate will adjust. Whatever your margin is added to Prime is your rate, the margin will remain fixed but your rate adjusts with Prime.

 

  • What determines the margin?
    • First and foremost your margin will be determined by your credit score. The higher your score the lower the margin, which makes sense. If you have a lower credit score you are considered a higher risk than someone with a higher score, so your margin maybe 1.5% while someone with a much higher score may have a margin of 1%.
    • Second, what is the amount of money you are looking for? It seems counter-intuitive but generally the more you want as your maximum limit the lower your margin may be. If you get a line for $50,000 the margin maybe as high as 2%, but if you get $250,000 it may be 1%.
    • Third, what is the total loan to value? If your home is appraised at $600,000 and you owe $300,000 then the loan to value (LTV) is 50%. If you want an equity line for $100,000 the total LTV will be 67% (300,000 + 100,000 = 400,000 divided by value of 600,000 is 66.66666% or 67%). If you want an equity line of $180,000 then the LTV is 80%. Generally, the higher the LTV the higher the margin.

 

  • What are the terms of the HELOC draw and repayment period? Is your line open and available for use for ten years, fifteen, twenty? If the line is shut down for use before the balance is due what are the repayment terms for the final years of the loan? Can you continue to make interest only payments? Does the loan become fully amortized for the remaining term of the loan? Is there a potential balloon payment? These are very important terms to know as they will dictate what your financial obligations will be in the future. If the loan begins to fully amortize for five years after you use it for ten will you be able to make those payments (for instance you have $80,000 balance and your rate is 6% when the HELOC shuts down and is fully amortized your payment at that rate would be about $1550 per month)? What if it has a balloon and you did not do a good job of making principal payments, where will you come up with $80,000, $125,000 or even $25,000, when the time comes.

 

Before getting into a HELOC look at what will happen in the future, know how your rate will be determined by knowing the margin, know how you will have to repay the debt in the near term but equally important later in the loan when the repayment terms may change.

 

HELOCs can be very beneficial financial instruments, but like all financial tools they work best when used properly.

 

If you have any questions about HELOCs or want some help deciphering different options being presented to you please do not hesitate to contact me for assistance.

 

As well, if you currently have a HELOC and are concerned about your rising interest rate and possible repayment challenges in the future (i.e. fully amortized payment and/or balloon payment) please call me to discuss options for refinancing and if that is an option that makes sense for you and your family.

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

Rate moving news this week did not come from our usual sources of economic reports from various government or private agencies. The first announcement was the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) that it was raising the fed funds rate by one-quarter of one percent (o.25%), which as discussed above resulted in an increase in the Prime Rate to 4.75%. The rate increase alone had no impact on mortgage rates as the markets had fully anticipated the move and it was already priced into our rates a long time ago. What can move mortgage rates are comments from the meeting and Fed Chair Jerome Powell that may indicate the Fed will engage in three more rate increases this year instead of the previously announced two more increases. There were no comments or statements that indicated a change in the rate increase schedule for 2018 and markets reacted somewhat favorably.

 

Yesterday the Trump Administration announced tariffs of about $50 billion worth of certain Chinese imports. The immediate announcement caused stock markets to drop about 2% and the sell-off proceeds were put into bonds and mortgages, leading to a dip in rates. Later as considerations were given to possible retaliation from China one target stands out—U.S. debt. China is the largest holder of United States Treasury bills and bonds, with almost $1.2 trillion. Should China start a significant sell off of their holdings it will cause rates to climb, how much would depend on how much debt China wants to bring to market. The potential retaliation from China caused rates to reverse yesterday into correction mode after their initial dip.

 

Rates for Friday March 23, 2018: Some movement in the price of conforming rates this week, but we end the week steady from last Friday. On the higher side we saw the high-balance conforming rate (loans from $453,101 to $679,650) gave back their brief dip from last week. Rates are volatile for many reasons and I expect rates to have more pressure to move up than down, I retain my mantra of locking as soon as you can through your escrow period.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.25%       Flat

30 year high-balance conforming                      4.5%         Up 0.125%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

 

Regular readers of the WR&MU know this last section is usually something personal going on in my life. It is a bit longer than the usual short paragraph or two, but I hope you indulge me and give it a read.

 

Many of you know I am a member of the Rotary Club of Long Beach. I am proud of my membership, not only in our local club that contributes tens of thousands of dollars to assist local non-profits every years, has purchased hundreds of thousands of dollar in books for local schools and every year provides hundreds of thousands of dollars in scholarships to students at Long Beach City College and Cal State Long Beach; but also proud to be part of Rotary International.

Rotary International could be looked at as the primary organization responsible for the nearly complete eradication of polio around the world. Taken on as a primary mission in the 1950’s, Rotary clubs around the world raised funds and volunteers to vaccinate children from Boise to Bangkok, Tulsa to Tunisia. Today there are only a few new cases of polio every year and Rotarians continue to administer the vaccine around the globe to the disadvantaged.

 

Lack of easily accessible clean water is incredibly debilitating to a community. Disease denies children to opportunity to go to school or adults to work, lack of sanitation and ability to properly clean increases the spread of disease. Some villagers, almost always women and their daughters, spend hours each day walking to and from the nearest source of water—not clean but water. Agriculture is poor, if existent, due to lack of water available for irrigation. In sum, it is practically impossible to turn around a community that is under-educated, in poor health and lacking economic activity if it has no clean water source.

 

With the overwhelming success in fighting polio the organization began to look at how it could impact the world again. Water. Clean water for everyone has become a universal cause for Rotarians. Millions of people around the world do not have access to clean water to drink, cook or clean with. Our club is very active in this effort and this past year some of our members were key players in raising funds and partnering with Water Underground to drill wells for four villages in Mozambique.

 

Below is link to  a video of one village on the day its well was tapped and fresh water came shooting from the ground. This was one of the wells our club was primarily responsible for funding. Watch these villagers and consider how so very fortunate we are to have some we consider so simple, getting water to drink, cook or clean with, from a tap.

 

After this video was shown at our club meeting Wednesday those present quickly made donations to pay for one more well in Mozambique. Sometime next year another village of a few thousand people will dance in the water shooting from the ground.

 

Here is the video (click on the “Watch our 2017 film” box embedded in the bottom of the video on the home page). Take a few minutes to watch it, you will be glad you did.

 

Have a great week,

 

Dennis

3-16-18: What is the difference between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?

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Question of the week: What is the difference between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac?

 

Answer: Before we look at the differences between Fannie and Freddie a quick recap as to what they are. Fannie and Freddie are currently owned by the United States government and regulated by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. When you hear or read about “conforming” or “conventional” mortgages, know the reference is to Fannie and Freddie mortgages.

 

Here is how they work. When your conventional mortgage funds the lender will bundle your mortgage with tens of millions of dollars of other mortgages and sell them to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. They will then create a bigger bundle, think hundred million, and sell Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) to investors. So your home loan in Cypress, California becomes an investment for the Shreveport Municipal Employees Pension Fund.

 

Side note: investors purchase MBS as an alternative to US Treasury bonds or other long term fixed rate investments. When investors are buying MBS rates go down, when they are selling, or not buying, rates go up.

 

When investors purchase the MBS of conventional mortgages they do so with the understanding that all the mortgages in their investment have been underwritten and funded under the guidelines of either Fannie or Freddie, depending which on whose mortgages they are buying.

 

To review, your mortgage is underwritten to either Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac underwriting guidelines, after it is funded by the lender it is sold to whichever entity whose guidelines were used to approve the loan, it is then sold as part of a larger package of mortgages to investors.

 

The differences between Fannie and Freddie comes down to their underwriting guidelines. For decades Freddie was known for somewhat looser underwriting standards, in the past few years Fannie has altered several of its guidelines to align with the Freddie guidelines.

 

There differences between the guidelines between the two are not many but useful to know when certain situations arise. For instance for income qualifying Freddie may only require one year tax returns in situations where Fannie may require two years. Certain property requirements are easier for loans going to Freddie as well—for instance we recently had an issue with a property that had a shared private road, Fannie Mae has some challenging requirements regarding maintaining that road whereas Freddie Mac does not have any requirements. Certain instances of how credit and debt are considered, use of co-signers and funds can also vary between the Fannie and Freddie guidelines.

 

If we go into all the differences your eyes will roll back in your head, actually after a few you will quit reading, but there are enough differences that somewhat frequently we will determine to use fund a loan using Freddie guidelines instead of Fannie, or vice-versa, because we need to in order to get the loan approved and funded.

 

Have a question? Ask me!

 

Prices and sales dominated economic news this week. Inflation was subdued in February, the Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% from January and was up 2.2% from last February; strip out volatile food and energy prices, which is what the Fed does when gauging inflation, and prices were up 1.8% from 2017 which is below the Fed’s target 2.0% inflation rate. Wholesale prices were also benign with the Producer Price Index also up 0.2% for the month and 2.5% for the core rate (less food and energy). The price data does not support the Fed looking to alter its stated course of three rate increases of 0.25% this year. Also not support more aggressive rate increases was the retail sales report. Retail sales dipped 0.1% in February from January, a bit counter to expectations with strong job growth and rising wages; an interesting aspect of the report was that nonstore sales jumped 1% from January.

 

Proceed with caution is the advice for the coming week. On Wednesday the Federal Open Market Committee will announce its decision on whether the Federal Funds rate is being increased. The overwhelming consensus is the Fed will bump the rate 0.25% at its meeting, the first of three expected for the year. This rate increase is already priced into the mortgage markets so if there is a 0.25% increase there should be no impact on mortgage rates. Key word in that sentence? “Should.” If the expected rate increase is what is announced, investors will then read with great interest the statement accompanying the rate announcement. Is there any statement regarding following labor markets more closely, concern or attention to wage inflation, changes in expectations for economic growth? Investors will be parsing the statement to see if there is a hint, or a hint of a hint, that the Fed may have four rate increases this year instead of the expected three, or that one or more of the hikes could be 0.5% instead of 0.25% their reaction will be to sell of bonds and Mortgage Backed Securities and we will see rates jump up on Wednesday afternoon.

 

Rates for Friday March 16, 2018: Conforming rates hold steady for another Friday and we see high-balance rates (loans between $453,101 and $679,650) dip after three flat weeks.

 

FIXED RATE MORTGAGES AT COST OF 1.25 POINTS LOCKED FOR 45 DAYS:

30 year conforming                                            4.25%       Flat

30 year high-balance conforming                       4.375%      Down 0.125%

 

Please note that these are base rates and adjustments may be added for condominiums, refinances, credit scores, loan to value, no impound account and period rate is locked. Rates are based on 20% down with 740 FICO score for purchase mortgages.

 

Arghhh. Why  did I change my bracket at the last second and put in Arizona to make the Final Four instead of Virginia? Because I over-thought it. It’s a mistake I try to avoid in business and working with clients—don’t over think, the solution is right there just implement it—but when it comes to trying to predict sporting events I tend to over-think which is good for my friendly competitors but frustrates me.

 

A great weekend to be a bar owner with St. Patrick’s Day falling on a Saturday night. I am going to assume the take in the collection plates on Sunday morning will be a directly reciprocal to the take in the tills of the drinking establishments on Saturday night. According to Wallethub.com beer consumption tomorrow will be 152.5% greater than usual, and Guinness sales will be 819% higher. I tend to enjoy Guinness throughout the year, why restrict such a fine beverage to only one day? Not only will purveyors of Guinness benefit from the Irish holiday, but so will cabbage sellers and transporters as the cruciferous vegetable sees a 70% increase in shipments the week of the green.

 

Have a fun, and safe, St. Patrick’s Day,

 

Dennis Cleary Smith (now you know what the “C” is for!)